"We can't allow things that are inaccurate to stand." — The Word of Our Dan, February 19, 2008.

Saturday, April 11, 2015

Crazy but fun but true fact

If you can take a bunch of GIS shapefiles, mix 'em up in ESRI ArcMap, and then from ArcMap, generate a PDF that you then post to the internets...

...then you can also post the original source shapefiles to the internets:

In a related matter, does anyone have a clue why the staff cartographers within the government of Newfoundland and Labrador are so reluctant, if not downright stubborn, when it comes to releasing raw GIS files of government-produced cartographic data into the wild?

Steve Kent? Anyone? This thing on?


Friday, April 10, 2015

By popular demand

By popular demand, here are maps overlaying the proposed boundaries released today by the Electoral Boundaries Commission, on top of the current boundaries, colour-coded by the 2011 general election results. (Changes since 2011 as a result of by-elections and floor-crossings are not reflected.) Existing boundaries are the thin white lines; the proposed boundaries are the thicker black ones.

Click on any map to enlarge it.

Here is the general overview of Newfoundland (the four Labrador districts are unchanged, and so omitted for the purposes of this exercise):

The greater Corner Brook - Bay of Islands region:

The northern Avalon:

And the St. John's metro region:


Thursday, April 09, 2015


What is "Newfoundland Labrador Hydro"?

Monday, March 30, 2015

Turnout (was re: Private to everyone)

Guys, guys, guys: the comparison is not as between federal and provincial voter turnout in Newfoundland and Labrador. The comparison is between provincial voter turnout among the various provinces.

And the picture is not a very pretty one. Out of the ten provinces, in the most recent provincial general election, Newfoundland and Labrador had a voter turnout of 57.9 percent, or sixth out of the ten:


And, as noted by one of the very papers that the much-maligned (for no good reason) Samara study cites, between 1965 and 2009, Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial voter turnout averaged 71.1%... again, sixth out of the ten provinces:

Maybe there's some evidence of high voter engagement that Samara missed, and which would put paid to their conclusions.

The provincial voter-turnout record is not that evidence.

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Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Everything is on the table

Nothing says "restrain" like "spending spree".

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Wednesday, February 25, 2015

No more secret deals? No! More secret deals!

3.2.2      The Milestone Date of "Within 18 months following the actual date of Phase 1 Completion" is deleted where it appears in Section (c) in the Table following Section 4.1A.2.

3.2.5      There is added to Article 4 a new Section 4.4B as follows:

                4.4B Definitive Unprocessed Nickel Charge (2014) The Proponent shall pay to Government a definitive unprocessed nickel charge in respect of Nickel-in Concentrate exported from the Province pursuant to the Additional Exemption (2014) ("Definitive Unprocessed Nickel Charge (2014)"). The Definitive Unprocessed Nickel Charge (2014) shall be calculated using the same formula as is currently in Section 4.4A of the Agreement in respect of the Definitive Unprocessed Nickel Charge, but the rate of 8% shall be increased to 11% in respect of the Definitive Unprocessed Nickel Charge (2014). All other provisions of Section 4.4A shall apply to the calculation of the Definitive Unprocessed Nickel Charge (2014), mutatis mutandis.

3.2.6      Section 4.7A.2 is amended by deleting the date "30 September 2014" and replacing it by the date "30 April 2015"

3.5.1      The Table following Section 15.5 is amended by deleting therefrom the last line "4.1A.2(c) – Processing Plant. "Phase 2" Completion (18 months following the date of "Phase 1" Completion) – 90 days".

4.6          Confidentiality. The Government and Proponent agree that the provisions and information described below each contains commercially sensitive information and shall be maintained in strictest confidence and not disclosed to the public, all in accordance with the provisions of Article 9 of the Agreement:

(a) the Milestone Date provided in Section 3.2.2 of this Sixth Amendment Agreement;
(b) the amount of the Definitive Unprocessed Nickel Charge (2014);
(c) the date upon which the Benefits Plan shall be agreed upon as provided in Section 3.2.6 of this Sixth Amendment Agreement;
(d) the removal of a “Phase 2” Completion date under Section 3.5.1 of this Sixth Amendment Agreement; and
(e) this Section 4.6.

Notwithstanding the foregoing, the provisions and information described in Section 4.6 may be disclosed to the public when such information is no longer commercially sensitive as determined by the Parties acting reasonably, and the provisions of Section 9.3 of the Agreement shall not apply to any such disclosure, provided that the particulars of the dollar amounts of the Liquidated Damages and the Contingent Unprocessed Nickel Charge may only be disclosed with the prior Approval of the Proponent.

The Parties acknowledge and agree that this Section 4.6 shall not apply to preclude the public disclosure in general terms by the Government of the nature and effect of this Sixth Amendment Agreement, nor prevent the disclosure by the Government of any information concerning the subject matter of this Sixth Amendment Agreement which has been publically disclosed by the Government prior to the date hereof.


Thursday, February 12, 2015

Lede buried

From the tail end of the recent CBC report concerning the political finance history of Justice Robert Stack:
Stack told CBC News the donations were made by his law firm on his behalf, adding that "they don't show any blind allegiance to a party," and he wasn't even aware of the amounts actually donated
Um, wut?

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Friday, January 30, 2015

Cabinet government

The Williams Dunderdale Marshall Coleman Marshall Davis Government released a rather self-serving report on its first 120 days in office this evening.

Apart from Premier Davis himself, the report mentions three other cabinet ministers by name:
  • Steve Kent
  • Tony Cornect
  • Ross Wiseman
  • Judy Manning

Steve Kent, who ran for the PC leadership himself last year, and who totally didn't have a sooper-sekrit leadership pact with Paul Davis, but who threw his support to Davis after being eliminated, garnered five mentions.

Tony Cornect received two, and Ross Wiseman, one.

Judy Manning, who has yet to set foot in the House of Assembly as a Member of that august body, also received one.

No other cabinet minister, elected or otherwise, merited a mention.

Maybe someone with a fresher memory will recall who Messrs. Cornect and Wiseman, and Ms. Manning, supported during the PC leadership race.

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Monday, January 26, 2015

Private to John Riche

Cumulative number of times Wade Locke's name has been invoked in the House of Assembly, by caucus.

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Friday, January 23, 2015

There. They fixed it.

The left-hand column represents the $916-million deficit projected in the December financial update, which bore the deliciously orwellian headline "Responsible Decisions Secure Long-Term Prosperity".

The column on the right represents $2-million — the estimated cost-savings from the bold reform of cutting eight members from the House of Assembly.

What? You don't see a right hand column?

Click to enlarge.


Thursday, January 22, 2015

Thirty-eight (II)

Alan Hall has gone back to the drawing board with some slightly changed assumptions, and drawn up another 38-district electoral map.

Hello, radio listeners.

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Monday, January 19, 2015

Electoral deadlines

As of this evening January 18, 2015, Elections Newfoundland and Labrador has still not published party financial disclosures for 2013.

This is a perennial problem. The financial disclosures for the seven calendar years from 2012 through 2006, inclusive, were not published until, respectively, 374, 359, 431, 348, 331, 483, and 436 days after the close of that year. On an average, it takes Elections NL until the end of January to disclose party and candidate financials from the calendar year two years before.

Oh — and the annual report for 2011, which did sneak in under the wire before 2012 came to a close, failed to distinguish regular contributions to political parties from those made during the campaign period, as required by s. 299 of the Elections Act. Elections NL has still not explained this lack of disclosure.

Elections NL has not published any candidate's campaign finance documentation for any of the by-elections held so far during the life of the current legislature, including two — Cartwright–L'anse au Clair and Carbonear–Harbour Grace — which were held two calendar years ago, in 2013. Nor is there any sign of that for the Virginia Waters by-election, held nine months ago in April 2014.

It is probably too much to expect that the financial reports from more recent by-elections — St. George's–Stephenville East in August, and Conception Bay South, Humber East, and Trinity–Bay de Verde — would yet be available. But it is not too much to expect the release by now of the detailed, official poll-by-poll voting results of those by-elections, given the relatively light work that such a job would entail. But no: there is no sign of them, either.

The most recent by-election report is that for Virginia Waters, which is dated September 23, 2014 — 167 days after polling day. On average, since 2003, it has taken Elections NL nearly four months to publish official by-election results. Entire, large provinces report the poll-by-polls of their entire general elections in less time. It takes Elections NL, on average, the entire nine months they are given by statute, to publish poll-by-poll results of a general election. This, in the second-least-populous province, and in an era when other provincial electoral offices are able to do so in mere weeks, or even days. This is a perennial problem, but not one which causes Elections NL any embarrassment.

They would appear to be incapable of it.

There's more. Of course there's more. Even after Elections NL finally gets around to "publishing" its report — it defines "publishing" as sending a copy to the legislative library — it can take additional weeks for the House of Assembly to accept the report, either by tabling it or deeming it tabled. There are entire swathes of by-electoral history which have never been tabled in the House of Assembly, for reasons unknown.

In the last two sets of by-elections, Elections NL has even managed to publish the wrong preliminary count on election night in Humber East and Conception Bay South, even as the scrutineers for one of the political parties, working from the exact same set of election-night Deputy Returning Officer tallies, came up with the correct figure before their victory parties were even shut down.

(And don't even think of asking for the same type of digital district and polling-division boundary files that other electoral officers routinely make available for download.)

All of which is why it would be funny, if it weren't so serious, that Elections Newfoundland and Labrador has given everyone a heads-up that they are setting a pretty firm deadline for the redrawing of the provincial electoral boundaries:

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